Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 109.617055 125.371497 143.417624 165.802458 193.081465 225.582326 2.677487e+02
2025-05-11 87.802838 107.658682 132.692233 167.262791 214.912043 280.102528 3.794787e+02
2025-05-18 74.359401 95.244169 123.244535 164.792784 227.234459 321.907935 4.859953e+02
2025-05-25 66.401199 88.038685 118.516548 166.515907 244.222881 373.443216 6.265660e+02
2025-06-01 59.828469 81.519777 113.305818 165.875912 256.521573 420.049797 7.790626e+02
2025-06-08 54.201469 75.509031 107.762890 163.340957 264.519626 460.796028 9.403457e+02
2025-06-15 51.350028 73.225289 107.500202 169.246537 288.649983 540.483787 1.241231e+03
2025-06-22 46.380138 67.083549 100.215722 161.582345 284.910093 559.731820 1.396443e+03
2025-06-29 43.321949 63.655537 96.974379 160.657948 294.460807 612.729492 1.696264e+03
2025-07-06 40.764266 60.778781 94.306546 160.325759 305.119556 672.605386 2.078920e+03
2025-07-13 39.958091 60.706301 96.471232 169.710514 339.896503 812.680859 2.965984e+03
2025-07-20 39.456469 61.079864 99.443433 181.230377 383.219756 1002.988884 4.480748e+03
2025-07-27 36.963540 57.963799 95.973223 179.333084 394.445916 1105.468635 5.835272e+03
2025-08-03 35.088768 55.813335 94.165457 181.004905 416.708543 1268.122834 8.336325e+03
2025-08-10 32.950847 52.987360 90.705406 178.263197 425.671714 1387.316471 1.114632e+04
2025-08-17 31.503434 51.300628 89.314115 180.176414 449.590613 1596.510858 1.694914e+04
2025-08-24 29.950438 49.281561 87.017338 179.465741 465.167119 1784.338224 2.512521e+04
2025-08-31 28.359183 47.064503 84.080264 176.651781 472.981133 1942.538891 3.622329e+04
2025-09-07 27.684183 46.554482 84.694618 183.209673 516.839228 2380.918656 7.759279e+04
2025-09-14 25.881751 43.709402 79.990281 174.700501 501.523516 2404.338556 9.828101e+04
2025-09-21 24.790352 42.200992 78.091845 173.675125 515.555262 2673.550873 1.826537e+05
2025-09-28 23.830781 40.890092 76.511304 173.306697 532.477192 3002.858494 4.072599e+05
2025-10-05 23.663134 41.162178 78.526744 183.725244 600.781955 3978.269325 4.569553e+06